Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest East Fife win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.