Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.35%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest East Fife win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.
