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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Feb 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Bold Stadium
Minnesota United

Austin
1 - 2
Minnesota Utd

Biro (90+4')
Valencia (70'), Rubio (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lod (34'), Bran (90')
Rosales (56'), Clark (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Austin
Sunday, October 22 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 3-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, October 22 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 3-1 Minnesota United

The last four meetings between Austin and Minnesota United have produced a combined 12 goals and we anticipate another action-packed contest at the Q2 Stadium. While we expect the Loons to put up a fight, we are backing Wolff's men to come away with all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Austin FCDrawMinnesota United
45.63% (0.352 0.35) 24.1% (-0.032 -0.03) 30.27% (-0.318 -0.32)
Both teams to score 58.9% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)43.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)65.69% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.84% (0.14699999999999 0.15)19.16% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.19% (0.241 0.24)50.81% (-0.239 -0.24)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.86% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)27.14% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.46% (-0.275 -0.27)62.54% (0.277 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 45.63%
    Minnesota United 30.27%
    Draw 24.1%
Austin FCDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.59% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.1% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.055 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.33% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 45.63%
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 7.31% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.78% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.42% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 30.27%

How you voted: Austin vs Minnesota Utd

Austin FC
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Minnesota United
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Jul 9, 2023 1.30am
Minnesota Utd
1-4
Austin
Padelford (85')
Dotson (54')
Fagundez (35'), Driussi (45' pen., 51'), Rigoni (90+5')
Pereira (81')
Jun 1, 2023 1.30am
Apr 11, 2022 12.30am
Oct 17, 2021 2am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1382324121226
2Columbus Crew137512113826
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati138231815326
4New York City FCNY City147251815323
5Orlando City135622415921
6Nashville SCNashville136342215721
7Inter MiamiInter Miami126332118321
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136162018219
9Chicago Fire145452527-219
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls135351915418
11New England RevolutionNew England125341210218
12Toronto133461617-113
13DC United133461325-1213
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta132471323-1010
15CF MontrealMontreal13139722-156

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1374222111125
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle135532115620
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes135262620617
8Austin FCAustin13526815-717
9Dallas134451522-716
10Houston DynamoHouston133461319-613
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake134181319-613
12St Louis City13247917-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas122281622-68
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy120481029-194
15San Diego FC00000000


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