MX23RW : Thursday, May 1 22:35:44| >> :600:526222:526222:
Salernitana
Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Spezia Calcio logo

Salernitana
3 - 3
Spezia

Kallon (53'), Dia (68' pen., 90+3')
Coulibaly (34')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Candelari (43'), Soleri (45', 59')
Bertola (39'), Elia (82')
Salernitana win 5-4 on penalties
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Salernitana and Spezia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions
Last Game: Bari 1-1 Salernitana
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Spezia 5-2 Fezzanese
Thursday, August 8 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
SalernitanaDrawSpezia
28.2% (-1.265 -1.27) 25.81% (-0.337 -0.34) 45.99% (1.603 1.6)
Both teams to score 51.96% (0.267 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.21% (0.71 0.71)51.79% (-0.71 -0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.44% (0.613 0.61)73.56% (-0.61200000000001 -0.61)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.04% (-0.58 -0.58)32.96% (0.581 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.46% (-0.647 -0.65)69.54% (0.64800000000001 0.65)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.51% (1.06 1.06)22.49% (-1.06 -1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.95% (1.553 1.55)56.05% (-1.553 -1.55)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 28.2%
    Spezia 45.99%
    Draw 25.8%
SalernitanaDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 8.23% (-0.371 -0.37)
2-1 @ 6.81% (-0.197 -0.2)
2-0 @ 4.57% (-0.282 -0.28)
3-1 @ 2.52% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.69% (-0.133 -0.13)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 28.2%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.212 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 11.06% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.168 0.17)
0-2 @ 8.25% (0.278 0.28)
1-3 @ 4.56% (0.221 0.22)
0-3 @ 4.1% (0.261 0.26)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.084 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.7% (0.132 0.13)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.142 0.14)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 45.99%

How you voted: Salernitana vs Spezia

Salernitana
40.0%
Draw
28.0%
Spezia
32.0%
25
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 28
Spezia
1-1
Salernitana
Shomurodov (70')
Caldara (43' og.)
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 11
Salernitana
1-0
Spezia
Mazzocchi (48')
> Preview
Feb 7, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Salernitana
2-2
Spezia
Verdi (3', 16')
Mousset (30'), Fazio (53'), Radovanovic (90+1')
Manaj (12' pen.), Verde (30' pen.)
Amian (15'), Kiwior (88'), Nguiamba (90+4')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 8
Spezia
2-1
Salernitana
Strelec (51'), Kovalenko (76')
Gyasi (62'), Manaj (90')
Simy (39')
Obi (53'), Coulibaly (60'), Ranieri (80')
> Preview
Jul 31, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 38
Salernitana
1-2
Spezia
Gondo (30')
Di Tacchio (21'), Maistro (35'), Migliorini (59')
Maistro (62')
Mora (45+1'), N'Zola (90')
Maggiore (50'), Desjardins (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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