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Championship header 2

League Two
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
MK Dons

Notts County
3 - 3
MK Dons

Austin (45+4'), Jatta (48'), Nemane (90+1')
Langstaff (58'), Robertson (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dean (19'), Harrison (64', 83')
Norman (39'), Bate (39'), Harvie (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Notts County and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Notts County
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: MK Dons 5-0 Walsall
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 1-2 MK Dons

 Defensively, Notts County have struggled to hold it together throughout the year, and they are catching MK Dons at a bad time, with the visitors fresh off an emphatic victory last week, while the Dons have the added motivation of being in the thick of the race for a spot in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 38.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.54%) and 2-0 (4.81%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawMK Dons
39.33% (0.25700000000001 0.26) 22.47% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 38.19% (-0.22 -0.22)
Both teams to score 67.47% (0.134 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.89% (0.17399999999999 0.17)33.11% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.15% (0.201 0.2)54.85% (-0.202 -0.2)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.38% (0.185 0.19)17.61% (-0.185 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.8% (0.32 0.32)48.2% (-0.32 -0.32)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.89% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)18.11% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.95% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)49.05% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 39.33%
    MK Dons 38.19%
    Draw 22.47%
Notts CountyDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.54% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.81% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.06% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.78% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.017 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.01% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 39.33%
1-1 @ 9.46% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 7.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.19% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 2.32% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.47%
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.45% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.61% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 4% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.71%
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.99% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 38.19%

How you voted: Notts County vs MK Dons

Notts County
20.0%
Draw
13.3%
MK Dons
66.7%
15
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
MK Dons
1-1
Notts County
Harvie (46')
Smith (90+1')
Cameron (66')
> Preview
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Notts County
1-2
MK Dons
Barclay (94')
Mackail-Smith (73')
Wheeler (62'), Aneke (85')
Oct 23, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
MK Dons
2-1
Notts County
Aneke (60' pen.), Healey (69')
Gilbey (6')
Alessandra (23')
Hemmings (17'), Ward (45'), Evina (45')
Turley (58')
Mar 21, 2015 3pm
MK Dons
4-1
Notts County
Baker (63'), Baker (74'), Grigg (84', 93')
Randall (90')
Whitehouse (79')
Whitehouse (51'), Smith (57'), Spencer (97')
Dec 26, 2014 3pm
Notts County
0-1
MK Dons

McLaughlin (68')
Powell (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442
> League Two Full Table


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