

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.11%) and 0-1 (4.88%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Alloa Athletic | 
| 36.82% (  -0.43) | 21.72% (  -0.19) | 41.45% (  0.62) | 
| Both teams to score 70.36% (  0.69) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 70.67% (  0.91) | 29.32% (  -0.91) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 49.62% (  1.09) | 50.37% (  -1.1) | 
| Cove Rangers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.96% (  0.21) | 17.04% (  -0.22) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.8% (  0.38) | 47.19% (  -0.38) | 
| Alloa Athletic Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 84.81% (  0.61) | 15.19% (  -0.61) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.19% (  1.14) | 43.81% (  -1.14) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Alloa Athletic | 
| 2-1 @ 7.64% (  -0.13) 1-0 @ 4.58% (  -0.21) 3-1 @ 4.5% (  -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.25% (  0.05) 2-0 @ 4.05% (  -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.39% (  -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.99% (  -0) 4-2 @ 1.88% (  0.03) 4-3 @ 1.18% (  0.05) 4-0 @ 1.06% (  -0.03) Other @ 3.31% Total : 36.82% | 1-1 @ 8.63% (  -0.21) 2-2 @ 7.2% (  0.03) 3-3 @ 2.67% (  0.09) 0-0 @ 2.59% (  -0.14) Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.72% | 1-2 @ 8.13% (  -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.11% (  0.09) 0-1 @ 4.88% (  -0.15) 0-2 @ 4.6% (  -0.04) 2-3 @ 4.52% (  0.11) 0-3 @ 2.89% (  0.03) 1-4 @ 2.41% (  0.09) 2-4 @ 2.13% (  0.1) 0-4 @ 1.36% (  0.04) 3-4 @ 1.26% (  0.07) 1-5 @ 0.91% (  0.05) Other @ 3.26% Total : 41.45% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 | 
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 40 | 16 | 53 | 
| 3 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 51 | 
| 4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 | 
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 48 | 
| 6 | Montrose | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 40 | 
| 7 | Kelty Hearts | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 | 
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 37 | 
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 36 | 
| 10 | Dumbarton | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 63 | -16 | 17 | 
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
