

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.11%) and 0-1 (4.88%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 36.82% ( | 21.72% ( | 41.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 70.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.67% ( | 29.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.62% ( | 50.37% ( |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.96% ( | 17.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.8% ( | 47.19% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.81% ( | 15.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.19% ( | 43.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 7.64% ( 1-0 @ 4.58% ( 3-1 @ 4.5% ( 3-2 @ 4.25% ( 2-0 @ 4.05% ( 3-0 @ 2.39% ( 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 4-2 @ 1.88% ( 4-3 @ 1.18% ( 4-0 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 3.31% Total : 36.82% | 1-1 @ 8.63% ( 2-2 @ 7.2% ( 3-3 @ 2.67% ( 0-0 @ 2.59% ( Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.72% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 1-3 @ 5.11% ( 0-1 @ 4.88% ( 0-2 @ 4.6% ( 2-3 @ 4.52% ( 0-3 @ 2.89% ( 1-4 @ 2.41% ( 2-4 @ 2.13% ( 0-4 @ 1.36% ( 3-4 @ 1.26% ( 1-5 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.26% Total : 41.45% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 40 | 16 | 53 |
| 3 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 51 |
| 4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 48 |
| 6 | Montrose | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 40 |
| 7 | Kelty Hearts | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 37 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 36 |
| 10 | Dumbarton | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 63 | -16 | 17 |
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