Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
