Welsh Premier League
May 11, 2025 at 5.10pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon0 - 0Cardiff MU
FT
Roscrow (3'), Reynolds (45+1'), Rees (84'), (90+7')
Caernarfon win 4-2 on penalties
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Cardiff MU.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Caernarfon 5-2 Barry
Saturday, April 26 at 12.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, April 26 at 12.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
58
Last Game: Cardiff MU 1-0 Bala Town
Saturday, April 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, April 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
44
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 0-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 47.79% | 24.45% | 27.75% |
| Both teams to score 55.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
