Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 69.85%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 14.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.61%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Liverpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | Leicester City |
69.85% ( 0.19) | 16.1% ( 0.07) | 14.05% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 64.05% ( -1.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.02% ( -1.05) | 25.97% ( 1.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.82% ( -1.37) | 46.18% ( 1.36) |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.25% ( -0.22) | 6.74% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.07% ( -0.59) | 24.93% ( 0.59) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.69% ( -1.09) | 31.31% ( 1.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.33% ( -1.28) | 67.67% ( 1.28) |
Score Analysis |
Liverpool | Draw | Leicester City |
2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.33) 3-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.31) 4-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.09) 6-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.05) 4-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.09) 6-0 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 4.05% Total : 69.85% | 1-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.4% Total : 16.1% | 1-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 14.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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