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Charlton Athletic
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Valley
Exeter City

Charlton
3 - 0
Exeter

MacDonald (20' og.), Campbell (68'), Leaburn (84')
Anderson (69'), Small (72'), Gillesphey (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Niskanen (19'), Mitchell (51'), Colwill (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Charlton
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Exeter
Saturday, February 15 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Charlton Athletic 2-0 Exeter City

Charlton may have lost last time out, but their form prior had been excellent, and they will be looking to get back to winning ways this weekend. Given that the Addicks have the best defensive record outside of the top six, the Grecians may struggle to break them down, and Jones's side could keep a clean sheet alongside earning all three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 58.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 17.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawExeter City
58.83% (0.00099999999999767 0) 24.16% (0.0030000000000001 0) 17.01% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 43.36% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)56.21% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.74% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)77.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.05% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)18.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.53% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)50.46% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.5% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)46.5% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.89% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)82.1% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 58.81%
    Exeter City 17.01%
    Draw 24.15%
Charlton AthleticDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 14.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 12.18%
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 58.81%
1-1 @ 11.22%
0-0 @ 8.81% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 24.15%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 4.3% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 2.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 17.01%

How you voted: Charlton vs Exeter

Charlton Athletic
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Exeter City
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 15
Exeter
1-0
Charlton
Crama (59')
Woods (22'), Aitchison (73'), Niskanen (90+2')

Gillesphey (39')
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Exeter
1-1
Charlton
Purrington (6')
Woods (78')
Diabate (87' og.)
Thomas (37')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Charlton
4-1
Exeter
Taylor (45'), May (65', 86'), Leaburn (79')
Tedic (45+3')
Scott (23')
Aimson (66')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Exeter
1-2
Charlton
Mitchell (31')
Rak-Sakyi (8'), Taylor (18')
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Charlton
4-2
Exeter
Leaburn (20'), Hartridge (24' og.), Aneke (84'), Payne (90+1')
Stansfield (37'), Nombe (90+5' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham36258359243583
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe372011664362871
3Wrexham37218851302171
4Charlton AthleticCharlton37199949321766
5Stockport CountyStockport371811853341965
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield371871252341861
7Bolton WanderersBolton37186135955460
8Reading371611105246659
9Leyton Orient371751553381556
10Barnsley37157155153-252
11Blackpool371215105550551
12Lincoln CityLincoln371310145345849
13Stevenage371310143538-349
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham37129164245-345
15Mansfield TownMansfield37128174351-844
16Exeter CityExeter36128164051-1144
17Wigan AthleticWigan361110153336-343
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough36119165360-742
19Northampton TownNorthampton371012153754-1742
20Bristol Rovers37126193960-2142
21Burton Albion37812173853-1536
22Crawley TownCrawley3779213971-3230
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3778223561-2629
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3777233462-2828


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