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Copa do Brasil | Second Round
Mar 12, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Juscelino Kubitschek

Capital Brasilia
3 - 1
Porto Velho

Rikelmi (34'), Henrique Oliveira Alves (36'), Soares Almeida (83')
Philipe Freitas da Silva (11')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Antunes Miranda (29'), (45+3'), (55'), Carlos Santos Lima Junior (56')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Second Round clash between Capital Brasilia and Porto Velho.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Capital Brasilia 0-0 Portuguesa RJ (5-3 pen.)
Wednesday, February 19 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Porto Velho 0-0 Cuiaba (2-2 pen.)
Wednesday, February 19 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Capital Brasilia win with a probability of 73.01%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Porto Velho had a probability of 10.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Capital Brasilia win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.33%) and 3-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.92%), while for a Porto Velho win it was 0-1 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Capital Brasilia would win this match.

Result
Capital BrasiliaDrawPorto Velho
73.01% (-0.14200000000001 -0.14) 16.68% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 10.31% (0.097 0.1)
Both teams to score 48.47% (0.216 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.52% (0.082999999999998 0.08)39.48% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.18% (0.087000000000003 0.09)61.82% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Capital Brasilia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.59% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)9.41% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.36% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)31.64% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Porto Velho Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.5% (0.245 0.25)46.5% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.89% (0.186 0.19)82.11% (-0.184 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Capital Brasilia 72.99%
    Porto Velho 10.31%
    Draw 16.68%
Capital BrasiliaDrawPorto Velho
2-0 @ 12.21% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
1-0 @ 10.33% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 9.63% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.69% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.023 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.69% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.06%
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.012 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 72.99%
1-1 @ 7.92% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.37% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 16.68%
0-1 @ 3.35% (0.01 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.03% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.28% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.91% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 10.31%

rhs 2.0
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3Manchester CityMan City37208970442668
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle372061168462266
5Chelsea37199963432066
6Aston Villa3719995849966
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest371981058451365
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton37151396258458
9Brentford37167146556955
10Fulham37159135452254
11Bournemouth3714111256461053
12Crystal Palace371313115050052
13Everton371015124144-345
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37125205368-1541
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham371010174361-1840
16Manchester UnitedMan Utd37109184254-1239
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs37115216361238
RLeicester CityLeicester3767243378-4525
RIpswich TownIpswich37410233579-4422
RSouthampton3726292584-5912


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