

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 52.85%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Lincoln City | 
| 24.47% (  1.99) | 22.68% (  1) | 52.85% (  -2.98) | 
| Both teams to score 58.89% (  -0.99) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 58.89% (  -2.44) | 41.11% (  2.45) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 36.49% (  -2.53) | 63.51% (  2.53) | 
| Crawley Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.77% (  0.32) | 30.23% (  -0.31) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.6% (  0.38) | 66.4% (  -0.37) | 
| Lincoln City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 84.4% (  -1.81) | 15.6% (  1.81) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.42% (  -3.47) | 44.58% (  3.48) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Crawley Town | Draw | Lincoln City | 
| 2-1 @ 6.27% (  0.4) 1-0 @ 5.64% (  0.65) 2-0 @ 3.37% (  0.41) 3-1 @ 2.5% (  0.18) 3-2 @ 2.32% (  0.02) 3-0 @ 1.35% (  0.18) Other @ 3.02% Total : 24.47% | 1-1 @ 10.48% (  0.59) 2-2 @ 5.82% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 4.72% (  0.51) 3-3 @ 1.44% (  -0.08) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.68% | 1-2 @ 9.74% (  -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.76% (  0.42) 0-2 @ 8.14% (  -0.13) 1-3 @ 6.03% (  -0.45) 0-3 @ 5.04% (  -0.42) 2-3 @ 3.61% (  -0.23) 1-4 @ 2.8% (  -0.41) 0-4 @ 2.34% (  -0.36) 2-4 @ 1.68% (  -0.23) 1-5 @ 1.04% (  -0.23) Other @ 3.68% Total : 52.85% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 84 | 31 | 53 | 111 | 
| P | Wrexham | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 67 | 34 | 33 | 92 | 
| 3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 87 | 
| 4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 85 | 
| 5 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 84 | 
| 6 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 24 | 6 | 16 | 72 | 48 | 24 | 78 | 
| 7 | Reading | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 57 | 11 | 75 | 
| 8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 68 | 
| 9 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 72 | 60 | 12 | 67 | 
| 10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 19 | 7 | 20 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 64 | 
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 61 | 
| 12 | Barnsley | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 61 | 
| 13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 59 | 
| 14 | Stevenage | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 57 | 
| 15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 56 | 
| 16 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 56 | 
| 17 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 60 | 73 | -13 | 54 | 
| 18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 68 | 81 | -13 | 51 | 
| 19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 48 | 66 | -18 | 51 | 
| 20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 47 | 
| R | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 57 | 83 | -26 | 46 | 
| R | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 44 | 76 | -32 | 43 | 
| R | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 45 | 73 | -28 | 38 | 
| R | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 33 | 
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
