

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Northampton Town | 
| 40.61% (  -0.31) | 28.53% (  0.49) | 30.85% (  -0.17) | 
| Both teams to score 45.38% (  -1.41) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 39.17% (  -1.73) | 60.83% (  1.73) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 19.13% (  -1.32) | 80.87% (  1.32) | 
| Burton Albion Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.62% (  -1.01) | 29.38% (  1.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.64% (  -1.26) | 65.36% (  1.26) | 
| Northampton Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 64.26% (  -1.05) | 35.74% (  1.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.48% (  -1.1) | 72.51% (  1.1) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Burton Albion | Draw | Northampton Town | 
| 1-0 @ 12.86% (  0.47) 2-1 @ 8.11% (  -0.16) 2-0 @ 7.88% (  0.07) 3-1 @ 3.31% (  -0.16) 3-0 @ 3.22% (  -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.7% (  -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.01% (  -0.08) 4-0 @ 0.99% (  -0.05) Other @ 1.54% Total : 40.61% | 1-1 @ 13.23% (  0.11) 0-0 @ 10.49% (  0.65) 2-2 @ 4.17% (  -0.21) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.52% | 0-1 @ 10.8% (  0.39) 1-2 @ 6.81% (  -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.56% (  0.04) 1-3 @ 2.34% (  -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.91% (  -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.43% (  -0.12) Other @ 2.02% Total : 30.85% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 84 | 31 | 53 | 111 | 
| P | Wrexham | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 67 | 34 | 33 | 92 | 
| 3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 87 | 
| 4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 85 | 
| 5 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 84 | 
| 6 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 24 | 6 | 16 | 72 | 48 | 24 | 78 | 
| 7 | Reading | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 57 | 11 | 75 | 
| 8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 68 | 
| 9 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 72 | 60 | 12 | 67 | 
| 10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 19 | 7 | 20 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 64 | 
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 61 | 
| 12 | Barnsley | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 61 | 
| 13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 59 | 
| 14 | Stevenage | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 57 | 
| 15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 56 | 
| 16 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 56 | 
| 17 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 60 | 73 | -13 | 54 | 
| 18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 68 | 81 | -13 | 51 | 
| 19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 48 | 66 | -18 | 51 | 
| 20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 47 | 
| R | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 57 | 83 | -26 | 46 | 
| R | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 44 | 76 | -32 | 43 | 
| R | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 45 | 73 | -28 | 38 | 
| R | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 33 | 
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
