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League One
Stockport County
League One | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Edgeley Park
Wrexham AFC

Stockport
1 - 0
Wrexham

Barry (24')
Southam-Hales (3'), Horsfall (6'), Barry (20'), Olaofe (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cannon (45'), Lee (63'), Rathbone (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stockport County and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stockport County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Stockport 0-2 Tranmere
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Wrexham

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-1 Wrexham (3-1 pen.)
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Stockport County 2-1 Wrexham

 Stockport have won each of their previous three home games against Wrexham, and while we do not expect them to replicate the 5-0 win from last season's home clash, we think that they will do enough to extend that run by claiming a narrow victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stockport County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stockport County.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawWrexham
45.2% (-0.347 -0.35) 24.82% (0.137 0.14) 29.97% (0.214 0.21)
Both teams to score 56.26% (-0.32100000000001 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.31% (-0.478 -0.48)46.69% (0.483 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.05% (-0.449 -0.45)68.95% (0.452 0.45)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29% (-0.346 -0.35)20.71% (0.35 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.68% (-0.551 -0.55)53.32% (0.555 0.56)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.96% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)29.04% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.05% (-0.116 -0.12)64.95% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 45.2%
    Wrexham 29.97%
    Draw 24.82%
Stockport CountyDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 45.2%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.02% (0.121 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.44% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.6% (0.069 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.97%

How you voted: Stockport vs Wrexham

Stockport County
44.9%
Draw
24.6%
Wrexham
30.4%
69
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 46
Wrexham
2-1
Stockport
Palmer (47'), Cannon (88')
Lemonheigh-Evans (29')
Madden (59'), Camps (67'), Pye (90+6')
> Preview
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Stockport
5-0
Wrexham
Olaofe (21', 30', 50'), Barry (32'), Madden (90')
Olaofe (22')

Dalby (48')
> Preview
May 8, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 45
Wrexham
3-0
Stockport
Palmer (34', 46'), Mullin (45+3')
Cleworth (69'), Tozer (90+1')

Quigley (39'), Hippolyte (90+3')
> Preview
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Stockport
2-1
Wrexham
Madden (48', 80')
Madden (72'), Whitfield (80'), Southam-Hales (83'), Reid (86')
Mullin (2')
Mullin (2'), Lennon (90')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 46
Wrexham
0-3
Stockport

Jarvis (67')
Reid (14', 26'), Rooney (70' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham36258359243583
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe372011664362871
3Wrexham37218851302171
4Charlton AthleticCharlton37199949321766
5Stockport CountyStockport371811853341965
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield371871252341861
7Bolton WanderersBolton37186135955460
8Reading371611105246659
9Leyton Orient371751553381556
10Barnsley37157155153-252
11Blackpool371215105550551
12Lincoln CityLincoln371310145345849
13Stevenage371310143538-349
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham37129164245-345
15Mansfield TownMansfield37128174351-844
16Exeter CityExeter36128164051-1144
17Wigan AthleticWigan361110153336-343
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough36119165360-742
19Northampton TownNorthampton371012153754-1742
20Bristol Rovers37126193960-2142
21Burton Albion37812173853-1536
22Crawley TownCrawley3779213971-3230
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3778223561-2629
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3777233462-2828
> League One Full Table


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