Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 17.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 61.39% ( | 20.8% ( | 17.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.66% ( | 41.34% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.26% ( | 63.74% ( |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.02% ( | 12.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.51% ( | 39.49% ( |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.29% ( | 36.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.51% ( | 73.49% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 2-0 @ 9.93% ( 1-0 @ 9.73% ( 3-1 @ 6.77% ( 3-0 @ 6.76% ( 4-1 @ 3.46% ( 4-0 @ 3.45% ( 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 5-1 @ 1.41% ( 5-0 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 3.39% Total : 61.39% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 3-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.8% | 1-2 @ 4.89% ( 0-1 @ 4.78% ( 0-2 @ 2.39% ( 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 1-3 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 2.46% Total : 17.82% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 24 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 55 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Ajax | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 65 | 23 | 42 | 49 |
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 60 | 28 | 32 | 46 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 41 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 37 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 37 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 32 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 23 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 30 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 29 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 23 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 53 | -25 | 23 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 23 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 20 | 54 | -34 | 20 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 18 |
| 17 | Groningen | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 39 | -26 | 13 |
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