Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Puskas Arena
We said: Hungary 2-1 Serbia
Both teams are full of attacking talent, which makes the game an exciting encounter.
Serbia look more vulnerable defensively, as the games against Bulgaria and Lithuania showed. Therefore, it is hard to imagine that Stojkovic's eleven will be able to keep such a highly talented team as Hungary at bay for the entire 90 minutes.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 36.61%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.4%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Serbia win was 0-1 (12.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hungary in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Hungary.
| Result |
| Hungary | Draw | Serbia |
36.61% ( 0.23) | 29.57% ( 0.09) | 33.82% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 43.24% ( -0.25) |
