Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bermuda win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Saint Vincent & the Grenadines had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bermuda win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.