Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 84.97%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for Bermuda had a probability of 5.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 4-0 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.29%), while for a Bermuda win it was 1-2 (1.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haiti would win this match.