Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Laugardalsvollur
Iceland1 - 1Luxembourg
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Iceland 1-0 Bosnia H'vina
Monday, September 11 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Monday, September 11 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 6 | 24 | 18 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 6 | -9 | 10 |
| 4 | Iceland | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 6 | -18 | 0 |
Last Game: Portugal 9-0 Luxembourg
Monday, September 11 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Monday, September 11 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 6 | 24 | 18 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 6 | -9 | 10 |
| 4 | Iceland | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 6 | -18 | 0 |
We said: Iceland 1-1 Luxembourg
This is a really difficult match to call, as it is tough to know exactly what to expect from each side. It would not be a surprise to see a home or indeed an away win, but we just have a feeling that a cagey affair will end with the spoils being shared. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Luxembourg had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Luxembourg win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Iceland | Draw | Luxembourg |
38.34% ( -8.46) | 28.35% ( 1.81) | 33.32% ( 6.65) |
| Both teams to score 46.54% ( -2.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
