Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de Luxembourg
Luxembourg3 - 1Iceland
FT(HT: 1-0)
Arnar Haraldsson (88')
Magnusson (39'), Arnar Haraldsson (56'), Bergmann Johannesson (85')
Magnusson (73')
Magnusson (39'), Arnar Haraldsson (56'), Bergmann Johannesson (85')
Magnusson (73')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 0-2 Luxembourg
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 14 | 12 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Iceland | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 4 | -14 | 0 |
Last Game: Iceland 0-1 Portugal
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 14 | 12 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Iceland | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 4 | -14 | 0 |
We said: Luxembourg 1-0 Iceland
Barring their six-goal thumping at the hands of Portugal, Luxembourg have kept three clean sheets from their other three Euro 2024 qualifying matches so far and ought to feel optimistic about their chances of shutting out a depleted Iceland crop. Despite their recent knack for getting results on the road, Hareide's side may fall just short on Friday, as Luxembourg move onto a double-figure points total at the halfway mark. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 51.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 23.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.73%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 1-0 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Luxembourg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luxembourg | Draw | Iceland |
23.22% ( -0.09) | 25.18% ( -0.03) | 51.6% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 49.44% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
