Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 54.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 20.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Barrow |
| 54.82% ( | 24.84% ( | 20.34% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.47% ( | 54.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.11% ( | 75.89% ( |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.15% ( | 19.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.05% ( | 51.95% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.4% ( | 41.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.91% ( | 78.09% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Barrow |
| 1-0 @ 13.35% 2-0 @ 10.79% ( 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 3-0 @ 5.82% ( 3-1 @ 5.1% ( 4-0 @ 2.35% ( 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 4-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.73% Total : 54.81% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 2-2 @ 4.15% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 24.83% | 0-1 @ 7.24% ( 1-2 @ 5.14% ( 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 1-3 @ 1.5% ( 2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.15% Total : 20.34% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 70 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 57 |
| 3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 55 |
| 4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 52 |
| 5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 51 |
| 7 | Salford City | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 49 |
| 8 | Bradford CityBradford | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 48 |
| 9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 47 |
| 10 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 46 |
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 45 |
| 12 | BarrowBarrow | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 44 |
| 13 | AFC Wimbledon | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 42 |
| 14 | Walsall | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 41 |
| 15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 41 |
| 16 | Grimsby Town | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 36 |
| 17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 36 |
| 18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 35 |
| 19 | Newport CountyNewport | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 34 |
| 20 | Gillingham | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 30 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 29 |
| 22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 27 |
| 23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 21 |
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