Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 53.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Rochdale | 
| 53.54% (  -0.02) | 25.66% (  -0) | 20.8% (  0.02) | 
| Both teams to score 45.17% (  0.02) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 42.96% (  0.01) | 57.03% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 22.07% (  0.01) | 77.92% (  -0.02) | 
| Barrow Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.63% (  -0.01) | 21.37% (  0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.65% (  -0.01) | 54.34% (  -0) | 
| Rochdale Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 57.44% (  0.03) | 42.56% (  -0.03) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.08% (  0.02) | 78.91% (  -0.03) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Barrow | Draw | Rochdale | 
| 1-0 @ 14.03% (  -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.82% (  -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.25% (  0) 3-0 @ 5.57% (  -0) 3-1 @ 4.76% 4-0 @ 2.15% (  -0) 3-2 @ 2.03% (  0) 4-1 @ 1.84% Other @ 3.07% Total : 53.52% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 9.09% (  -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.95% (  0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 7.77% (  0) 1-2 @ 5.12% (  0.01) 0-2 @ 3.32% (  0) 1-3 @ 1.46% (  0) 2-3 @ 1.13% (  0) 0-3 @ 0.95% (  0) Other @ 1.06% Total : 20.8% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 63 | 
| 2 | Stevenage | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 56 | 
| 3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 28 | 20 | 51 | 
| 4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 50 | 
| 5 | Salford City | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 48 | 
| 6 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 43 | 
| 7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 42 | 
| 8 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 42 | 
| 9 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 42 | 
| 10 | BarrowBarrow | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 41 | 
| 11 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 40 | 
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 | 
| 13 | AFC Wimbledon | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 39 | 
| 14 | Walsall | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 38 | 
| 15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 38 | 
| 16 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 33 | 
| 17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 31 | 
| 18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 31 | 
| 19 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 29 | 
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 27 | 
| 21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 25 | 
| 22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 25 | 
| 23 | Gillingham | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 31 | -16 | 24 | 
| 24 | Rochdale | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 20 | 
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