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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Rochdale |
42.63% (![]() | 28.42% (![]() | 28.95% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.9% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.96% (![]() | 61.04% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.97% (![]() | 81.02% (![]() |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.65% (![]() | 28.35% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.91% (![]() | 64.08% (![]() |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.67% (![]() | 37.33% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.89% (![]() | 74.11% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 13.33% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.41% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.29% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.53% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 1.66% Total : 42.62% | 1-1 @ 13.14% (![]() 0-0 @ 10.58% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.08% ( ![]() Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.41% | 0-1 @ 10.42% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.48% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 1.75% Total : 28.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 63 |
2 | Stevenage | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 56 |
3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 28 | 20 | 51 |
4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 50 |
5 | Salford City | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 48 |
6 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 43 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 42 |
8 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 42 |
10 | BarrowBarrow | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 41 |
11 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 39 |
14 | Walsall | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 38 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 38 |
16 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 33 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 31 |
18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 31 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 29 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 27 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 25 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 25 |
23 | Gillingham | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 31 | -16 | 24 |
24 | Rochdale | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 20 |
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