Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Hartlepool United | 
| 50.42% (  0.26) | 25.48% (  -0.2) | 24.1% (  -0.06) | 
| Both teams to score 49.51% (  0.53) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 46.69% (  0.72) | 53.31% (  -0.72) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 25.14% (  0.61) | 74.86% (  -0.61) | 
| Doncaster Rovers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.84% (  0.41) | 21.16% (  -0.4) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.97% (  0.63) | 54.03% (  -0.62) | 
| Hartlepool United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 62.81% (  0.35) | 37.19% (  -0.35) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.02% (  0.34) | 73.98% (  -0.34) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Hartlepool United | 
| 1-0 @ 12.22% (  -0.2) 2-0 @ 9.49% (  -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.39% (  0.05) 3-0 @ 4.91% (  0.04) 3-1 @ 4.86% (  0.09) 3-2 @ 2.4% (  0.07) 4-0 @ 1.91% (  0.04) 4-1 @ 1.89% (  0.06) 4-2 @ 0.93% (  0.04) Other @ 2.42% Total : 50.42% | 1-1 @ 12.09% (  -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.87% (  -0.23) 2-2 @ 4.64% (  0.07) Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.79% (  -0.15) 1-2 @ 5.98% (  0.02) 0-2 @ 3.85% (  -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.97% (  0.02) 2-3 @ 1.53% (  0.04) 0-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.72% Total : 24.1% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 72 | 
| 2 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 56 | 34 | 22 | 61 | 
| 3 | Stevenage | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 60 | 
| 4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 59 | 
| 5 | Bradford CityBradford | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 57 | 
| 6 | Salford City | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 56 | 
| 7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 | 
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 55 | 
| 9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 51 | 
| 10 | BarrowBarrow | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 51 | 
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 49 | 
| 12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 48 | 
| 13 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 33 | 14 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 47 | 
| 14 | Walsall | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 43 | 
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 | 
| 16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 33 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 39 | 
| 17 | Grimsby Town | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 38 | 
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 37 | 
| 19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 35 | 
| 20 | Gillingham | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 34 | 
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 32 | 
| 22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 35 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 29 | 
| 23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 26 | 
| 24 | Rochdale | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 25 | 
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