Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
