Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 51.46%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
