

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 79.06%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 8.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.12%) and 1-2 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.57%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (2.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Ajax |
| 8.26% | 12.68% | 79.06% |
| Both teams to score 56.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.26% | 25.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.11% | 45.89% |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.34% | 40.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.74% | 77.26% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.89% | 5.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 79.68% | 20.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 2.5% 1-0 @ 1.87% 3-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.77% Total : 8.26% | 1-1 @ 5.57% 2-2 @ 3.72% 0-0 @ 2.08% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.21% Total : 12.68% | 0-2 @ 9.2% 0-3 @ 9.12% 1-2 @ 8.28% 1-3 @ 8.21% 0-4 @ 6.78% 0-1 @ 6.19% 1-4 @ 6.1% 0-5 @ 4.03% 2-3 @ 3.69% 1-5 @ 3.63% 2-4 @ 2.75% 0-6 @ 2% 1-6 @ 1.8% 2-5 @ 1.63% Other @ 5.67% Total : 79.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 19 | 18 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 16 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 15 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 5 | 18 | 14 |
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Heracles | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
| 12 | Heerenveen | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 6 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | Ajax | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 3 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 3 |
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 1 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
