Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 25, 2021 at 1.30pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Ajax
2 - 0
AZ
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54.21%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.32%) and 1-0 (7.19%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 54.21% | 21.4% | 24.39% |
| Both teams to score 63.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
