Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 43.39% ( | 26.54% ( | 30.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.19% ( | 53.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.72% ( | 75.28% ( |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.39% ( | 24.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.88% ( | 59.12% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.39% ( | 32.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.85% ( | 69.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% ( 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 3-1 @ 4.13% ( 3-0 @ 3.69% ( 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 4-0 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 2.54% Total : 43.39% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0-0 @ 8.03% ( 2-2 @ 4.95% ( Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 8.99% ( 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0-2 @ 5.04% ( 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 2-3 @ 1.85% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 30.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | Leyton Orient | 42 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 56 | 29 | 27 | 84 |
| 2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 43 | 21 | 14 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 77 |
| 3 | Stevenage | 42 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 76 |
| 4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 60 | 36 | 24 | 72 |
| 5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 43 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 72 |
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 71 |
| 7 | Salford City | 43 | 20 | 9 | 14 | 66 | 49 | 17 | 69 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 42 | 19 | 12 | 11 | 67 | 51 | 16 | 69 |
| 9 | BarrowBarrow | 43 | 18 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 62 |
| 10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 43 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 43 | 49 | -6 | 57 |
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Grimsby Town | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 55 |
| 13 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 43 | 14 | 12 | 17 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 54 |
| 14 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 43 | 15 | 7 | 21 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 52 |
| 15 | Walsall | 43 | 11 | 18 | 14 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 51 |
| 16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 41 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 51 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 50 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 43 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 47 |
| 20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 43 | 11 | 13 | 19 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 46 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 42 | 10 | 15 | 17 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 45 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 43 | 10 | 12 | 21 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 42 |
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 43 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 48 | 74 | -26 | 39 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 43 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 41 | 67 | -26 | 34 |
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