Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 62.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 16.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Montrose win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
| 62.8% ( | 21.1% ( | 16.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.28% ( | 45.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.96% ( | 68.03% ( |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.05% ( | 13.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.58% ( | 41.41% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.59% ( | 41.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.09% ( | 77.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
| 1-0 @ 11.37% ( 2-0 @ 11.2% ( 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 3-0 @ 7.36% ( 3-1 @ 6.49% ( 4-0 @ 3.62% ( 4-1 @ 3.2% ( 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 5-1 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 62.79% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 2-2 @ 4.36% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 21.09% | 0-1 @ 5.09% ( 1-2 @ 4.42% ( 0-2 @ 2.24% ( 1-3 @ 1.3% ( 2-3 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 1.76% Total : 16.1% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 49 | 17 | 32 | 67 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 71 | 44 | 27 | 52 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 51 |
| 5 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 47 |
| 6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 45 |
| 7 | Montrose | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 42 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 35 |
| 9 | Clyde | 31 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 16 |
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 30 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 14 | 74 | -60 | 12 |
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