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MK Dons
EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
Morecambe
MK Dons
2 - 0
Morecambe
O'Hora (18'), Dennis (51')
Eisa (22')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Watts (35'), Gibson (83')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between MK Dons and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 6-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-0 Morecambe
Friday, November 4 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

We said: MK Dons 2-0 Morecambe

Buoyed by their thumping FA Cup success and enjoying the golden touch in defence in recent weeks, the stage is set for MK Dons to reach the fourth round of the EFL Cup. The Dons have already taught Morecambe one footballing lesson this term, and the Shrimps' poor away form should rear its ugly head in a miserable day for the travelling fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 59.9%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for MK Dons in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for MK Dons.

Result
MK DonsDrawMorecambe
59.9% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04) 21.97% (0.0019999999999989 0) 18.13% (0.041 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.76% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.96% (0.056999999999995 0.06)46.04% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.65% (0.054000000000002 0.05)68.34% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)14.96% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.62% (0.010000000000005 0.01)43.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.86% (0.082000000000001 0.08)39.13% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.15% (0.074000000000002 0.07)75.85% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 59.9%
    Morecambe 18.13%
    Draw 21.96%
MK DonsDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 11.12% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.69% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.98% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 59.9%
1-1 @ 10.43%
0-0 @ 5.85% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.65% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.96%
0-1 @ 5.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 4.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.53% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 18.13%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Morecambe

MK Dons
88.9%
Draw
4.4%
Morecambe
6.7%
45
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Morecambe
0-4
MK Dons
Grigg (16', 36'), Grant (62'), Dennis (67')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
MK Dons
2-0
Morecambe
Darling (20'), Harvie (79')
Kasumu (32'), Lewington (56')

Gibson (7'), Connolly (67'), Phillips (86'), Ayunga (89')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Morecambe
0-4
MK Dons

McLoughlin (32')
Eisa (23'), O'Riley (40', 82'), Darling (64')
O'Hora (34')
Mar 12, 2019 7.45pm
Morecambe
4-2
MK Dons
Bennett (21', 57'), Cisse (41' og.), Collins (86')
Agard (70', 76')
Hesketh (40'), Cisse (45'), Aneke (91')
Nov 27, 2018 7.45pm
MK Dons
2-0
Morecambe
Gilbey (58', 84')

Oswell (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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