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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 51.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
51.2% ( -0.01) | 25.07% ( -0) | 23.73% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.31% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.93% ( 0.01) | 52.07% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.2% ( 0.01) | 73.8% ( -0.01) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.66% | 20.34% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.27% | 52.73% ( 0) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.15% ( 0.02) | 36.85% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.36% ( 0.02) | 73.64% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 11.93% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.49% 3-0 @ 5.05% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.65% Total : 51.19% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 7.5% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 23.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 61 | 22 | 39 | 77 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 74 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 36 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 72 |
4 | Barnsley | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 66 |
5 | Derby CountyDerby | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 64 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 63 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 57 |
8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 55 |
9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 35 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 54 |
10 | Portsmouth | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 51 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 46 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 35 | 9 | 18 | 8 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 45 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 45 |
14 | Port Vale | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 44 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 43 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 42 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 46 | -17 | 40 |
18 | Burton Albion | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 36 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 35 |
21 | Morecambe | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 33 |
22 | MK Dons | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 33 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 30 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 36 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 23 |
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