

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Plymouth Argyle | 
| 23.02% (  0.02) | 23.05% (  0) | 53.93% (  -0.02) | 
| Both teams to score 55.86% (  0.03) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 55.69% (  0.02) | 44.31% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 33.31% (  0.02) | 66.69% (  -0.02) | 
| Morecambe Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.79% (  0.03) | 33.21% (  -0.03) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.18% (  0.04) | 69.82% (  -0.03) | 
| Plymouth Argyle Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.63% (  0) | 16.37% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.01% (  0) | 45.99% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Morecambe | Draw | Plymouth Argyle | 
| 1-0 @ 5.99% (  -0) 2-1 @ 5.98% (  0) 2-0 @ 3.3% (  0) 3-1 @ 2.2% (  0) 3-2 @ 1.99% (  0) 3-0 @ 1.21% (  0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 23.02% | 1-1 @ 10.84% 0-0 @ 5.44% (  -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.41% (  0) 3-3 @ 1.2% (  0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.05% | 0-1 @ 9.84% (  -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.81% (  -0) 0-2 @ 8.9% (  -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.92% 0-3 @ 5.37% (  -0) 2-3 @ 3.26% (  0) 1-4 @ 2.68% 0-4 @ 2.43% (  -0) 2-4 @ 1.48% (  0) 1-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.27% Total : 53.93% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 31 | 8 | 7 | 82 | 47 | 35 | 101 | 
| P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 101 | 35 | 66 | 98 | 
| 3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 81 | 37 | 44 | 96 | 
| 4 | Barnsley | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 80 | 47 | 33 | 86 | 
| 5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 62 | 36 | 26 | 81 | 
| 6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 24 | 5 | 17 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 | 
| 7 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 67 | 46 | 21 | 76 | 
| 8 | Portsmouth | 46 | 17 | 19 | 10 | 61 | 50 | 11 | 70 | 
| 9 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 69 | 
| 10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 70 | 66 | 4 | 62 | 
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 14 | 20 | 12 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 62 | 
| 12 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 17 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 59 | 
| 13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 58 | 
| 14 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 56 | 
| 15 | Burton Albion | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 57 | 79 | -22 | 56 | 
| 16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 54 | 
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 73 | -15 | 53 | 
| 18 | Port Vale | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 48 | 71 | -23 | 49 | 
| 19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 | 
| 20 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 46 | 
| R | MK Dons | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 44 | 66 | -22 | 45 | 
| 22 | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 14 | 22 | 47 | 78 | -31 | 44 | 
| R | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 40 | 77 | -37 | 44 | 
| R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 31 | 89 | -58 | 27 | 
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