Major League Soccer

May 11, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Minato Soccer Stadium

Dallas
1 - 1
Salt Lake

Julio (53', 53')
Cafumana (5'), Cafumana (5'), da Silva Ferreira (76'), da Silva Ferreira (76')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Luna (24', 24')
Glad (11'), Glad (11'), Luna (15'), Luna (15'), Eneli (39'), Eneli (39'), Katranis (45+7'), Katranis (45+7'), Agade (51'), Agade (51')
Agade (58'), Agade (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Dallas and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: San Diego 5-0 Dallas
Sunday, May 4 at 2.15am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 2-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, May 4 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Dallas	Draw	Real Salt Lake
49.17% ( -0.47)	22.71% ( 0.04)	28.12% ( 0.43)

Both teams to score 62.36% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.9% (

0.14)

38.09% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.64% (

0.15)

60.36% (

-0.15)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.21% (

-0.11)

15.79% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.07% (

-0.21)

44.93% (

0.21)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.05% (

0.36)

25.95% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.04% (

0.49)

60.95% (

-0.49)

Score Analysis

Dallas 49.17%

Real Salt Lake 28.12%

Draw 22.71%

Dallas	Draw	Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.77% Total : 49.17%	1-1 @ 10.2% 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.71%	1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.35% Total : 28.12%