Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Adelaide United had a probability of 21.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for an Adelaide United win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.