Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 38.63% | 26.46% | 34.91% |
| Both teams to score 52.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.78% | 52.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.07% | 73.92% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.61% | 26.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.45% | 61.55% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.43% | 28.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.64% | 64.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 6.69% 3-1 @ 3.72% 3-0 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.63% | 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.54% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 9.45% 1-2 @ 7.88% 0-2 @ 5.92% 1-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.68% Total : 34.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 39 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 67 | 31 | 36 | 80 |
| 2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 41 | 26 | 80 |
| 3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 74 | 31 | 43 | 78 |
| 4 | Barnsley | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 66 | 34 | 32 | 75 |
| 5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 64 |
| 6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 39 | 20 | 4 | 15 | 65 | 47 | 18 | 64 |
| 7 | Derby CountyDerby | 39 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 59 | 41 | 18 | 64 |
| 8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 39 | 18 | 8 | 13 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 62 |
| 9 | Portsmouth | 39 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 61 |
| 10 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 55 |
| 11 | Exeter CityExeter | 39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 53 |
| 12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
| 13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 39 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 50 |
| 14 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 38 | 9 | 19 | 10 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 46 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 45 |
| 16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 45 |
| 17 | Port Vale | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 45 |
| 18 | Burton Albion | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 47 | 70 | -23 | 42 |
| 19 | MK Dons | 39 | 11 | 7 | 21 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 40 |
| 20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 38 |
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 35 |
| 22 | Morecambe | 40 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 37 | 68 | -31 | 34 |
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 30 | 59 | -29 | 33 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 39 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 72 | -43 | 26 |
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