Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 36.42%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Freiburg |
| 34.53% | 29.05% | 36.42% |
| Both teams to score 44.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.97% | 62.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.24% | 81.75% |
| Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.23% | 33.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.57% | 70.43% |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.48% | 32.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.95% | 69.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Freiburg |
| 1-0 @ 11.92% 2-1 @ 7.27% 2-0 @ 6.47% 3-1 @ 2.63% 3-0 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.41% Total : 34.53% | 1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.6% Total : 29.04% | 0-1 @ 12.33% 1-2 @ 7.52% 0-2 @ 6.93% 1-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.69% Total : 36.41% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 97 | 37 | 60 | 77 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 3 | 9 | 85 | 52 | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 80 | 47 | 33 | 64 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 72 | 37 | 35 | 58 |
| 5 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 57 |
| 6 | Freiburg | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 55 |
| 7 | FC Koln | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 52 |
| 8 | Mainz 05 | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 46 |
| 9 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 58 | 60 | -2 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 45 |
| 11 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45 | 49 | -4 | 42 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 42 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 38 |
| 15 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 59 | -18 | 33 |
| 16 | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 33 |
| R | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 28 |
| R | Greuther Furth | 34 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 28 | 82 | -54 | 18 |
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