Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Metz had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.