Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade 26 Mars
Mali
4 - 0
South Sudan
FT(HT: 2-0)
Toha (74'), Mawa Christopher Lokosang (90')
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Congo 0-2 Mali
Sunday, June 18 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sunday, June 18 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Last Game: Egypt 3-0 South Sudan
Sunday, June 18 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, June 18 at 6pm in International Friendlies
We said: Mali 2-0 South Sudan
South Sudan have struggled massively for goals of late, and we can see them firing another blank in this one. We also fancy Mali to cruise to a routine victory without having to break too much sweat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 74.25%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 8.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.43%) and 3-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mali | Draw | South Sudan |
74.25% ( -0.51) | 17.16% ( 0.28) | 8.59% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 39.91% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.94% ( -0.47) | 47.06% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.7% ( -0.44) | 69.3% ( 0.43) |
| Mali Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.92% ( -0.26) | 11.09% ( 0.26) |
