MX23RW : Tuesday, March 28 09:08:32| >> :120:76447:76447:
Jun 4, 2022 at 5pm UK at Stade Lat Dior (Thiès)
Gambia
1 - 0
South Sudan
Jallow (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Emmanuel Kundu Gama (45'), Malish Manase (90+1'), Maker Manyang Mabok (90+2')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Gambia and South Sudan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Congo 1-0 Gambia
Wednesday, June 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Mali vs. Gambia
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Sudan 1-3 Mali
Thursday, June 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Congo vs. South Sudan
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Gambia 1-0 South Sudan

The teams come into this one on a decent run of results and both will feel capable of claiming all three points. We anticipate a keenly-contested affair with the hosts managing to secure a narrow triumph come the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 13.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.2%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gambia in this match.

Result
GambiaDrawSouth Sudan
64.5% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08) 21.76% (0.0030000000000001 0) 13.73% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 42.92% (0.175 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.19% (0.13 0.13)52.81% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.56% (0.111 0.11)74.43% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.27% (0.016999999999996 0.02)15.73% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.17% (0.033000000000001 0.03)44.83% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
South Sudan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.94% (0.196 0.2)49.06% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16% (0.139 0.14)84% (-0.13900000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Gambia 64.5%
    South Sudan 13.73%
    Draw 21.76%
GambiaDrawSouth Sudan
1-0 @ 14.27% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 13.2% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.14% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.8% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.76% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 64.5%
1-1 @ 10.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.35% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.76%
0-1 @ 5.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 3.62% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.96% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 13.73%

How you voted: Gambia vs South Sudan

Gambia
70.8%
Draw
16.7%
South Sudan
12.5%
24
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal28223366264069
2Manchester CityMan City27194467254261
3Manchester UnitedMan Utd2615564135650
4Tottenham HotspurSpurs28154952401249
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle261211339192047
6Liverpool26126847291842
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton25126746311542
8Brentford27101254334942
9Fulham27116103837139
10Chelsea2710892928138
11Aston Villa27115113539-438
12Crystal Palace2869132238-1627
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2876152241-1927
14Leeds UnitedLeeds2768133544-926
15Everton2868142240-1826
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2768132249-2726
17Leicester CityLeicester2774163847-925
18West Ham UnitedWest Ham2666142434-1024
19Bournemouth2766152554-2924
20Southampton2865172346-2323

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!