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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 19, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade Municipal
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CAR1 - 4Madagascar
Gambor (9')
(76'), Arnold Yangana-Ba-Komi (76')
(76'), Arnold Yangana-Ba-Komi (76')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Raveloson (17', 21'), Randrianantenaina (49'), Rafanomezantsoa (89')
Caddy (40'), Niaina Rabemananjara (88'), Niaina Rabemananjara (88')
Caddy (40'), Niaina Rabemananjara (88'), Niaina Rabemananjara (88')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: CAR 0-1 Gabon
Monday, November 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Monday, November 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Comoros 1-0 Madagascar
Monday, November 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Monday, November 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 | 
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 | 
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 | 
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 | 
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central African Republic win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Madagascar had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central African Republic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Madagascar win was 0-1 (11.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central African Republic | Draw | Madagascar | 
| 36.83% (  -0.13) | 28.58% (  0.03) | 34.58% (  0.1) | 
| Both teams to score 46.03% (  -0.09) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 39.6% (  -0.11) | 60.39% (  0.11) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 19.46% (  -0.09) | 80.54% (  0.08) | 
| Central African Republic Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.58% (  -0.14) | 31.42% (  0.14) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.21% (  -0.16) | 67.79% (  0.16) | 
| Madagascar Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.12% (  0.01) | 32.88% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.55% (  0.01) | 69.45% (  -0.01) | 
| Score Analysis | 
     Central African Republic 36.83%
     Madagascar 34.58%
     Draw 28.57%
| Central African Republic | Draw | Madagascar | 
| 1-0 @ 11.95% 2-1 @ 7.7% (  -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.92% (  -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.97% (  -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.67% (  -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.65% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 36.83% | 1-1 @ 13.3% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 10.32% (  0.04) 2-2 @ 4.28% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.57% | 0-1 @ 11.49% (  0.05) 1-2 @ 7.4% (  0.01) 0-2 @ 6.39% (  0.03) 1-3 @ 2.74% (  0) 0-3 @ 2.37% (  0.01) 2-3 @ 1.59% (  -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.58% | 
How you voted: CAR vs Madagascar
Central African Republic
65.9%Draw
22.0%Madagascar
12.2%41
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2023 2pm
Mar 23, 2023 1pm
Form Guide
 rhs 2.0 
 
 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Liverpool | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 84 | 
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 74 | 
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72 | 44 | 28 | 71 | 
| 4 | Chelsea | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 69 | 
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 66 | 
| 6 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 66 | 
| 7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 65 | 
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 66 | 59 | 7 | 61 | 
| 9 | Bournemouth | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 56 | 
| 10 | Brentford | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 66 | 57 | 9 | 56 | 
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 54 | 
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 53 | 
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 48 | 
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 43 | 
| 15 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 42 | 
| 16 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 42 | 
| 17 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 38 | 
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 25 | 
| R | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 82 | -46 | 22 | 
| R | Southampton | 38 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 12 | 
| > Premier League Full Table | |||||||||

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