Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 12, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade d'Honneur d'Oujda

Morocco
5 - 0
CAR

Ezzalzouli (18'), Ounahi (38', 45+2'), Hakimi (45'), Rahimi (70' pen.)
Rahimi (32'), Akhomach (86')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Ngoma (55'), Kondogbia (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Morocco and Central African Republic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Lesotho 0-1 Morocco
Monday, September 9 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Central African Republic

Last Game: Gabon 2-0 CAR
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 83.57%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 4.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.3%) and 1-0 (10.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 0-1 (2.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.

Result
Morocco	Draw	Central African Republic
83.57% ( 0.44)	11.72% ( -0.19)	4.71% ( -0.25)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Morocco	Draw	Central African Republic
2-0 @ 14.73% ( 0.29) 3-0 @ 13.3% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.2) 4-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.07) 6-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.36% Total : 83.55%	1-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.31% Total : 11.72%	0-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.29% Total : 4.71%