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Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
Mbombela Stadium
Mozambique national football team

Eswatini
0 - 3
Mozambique


Matse (66')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Domingues (11'), Ratifo (41'), Catamo (59')
Miguel Neves Santos (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Eswatini and Mozambique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eswatini

Last Game: Mozambique 1-1 Eswatini
Friday, October 11 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Mozambique

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mozambique 1-1 Eswatini
Friday, October 11 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Eswatini had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.42%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Eswatini win was 1-0 (12.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.

Result
EswatiniDrawMozambique
33.44% (0.16 0.16)29.63% (0.069000000000003 0.07)36.93% (-0.227 -0.23)
Both teams to score 43.03% (-0.159 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36% (-0.202 -0.2)63.99% (0.20200000000001 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.82% (-0.144 -0.14)83.18% (0.143 0.14)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.43% (0.0040000000000049 0)35.57% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.66% (0.0019999999999989 0)72.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.78% (-0.251 -0.25)33.21% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.18% (-0.278 -0.28)69.82% (0.27799999999999 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Eswatini 33.44%
    Mozambique 36.93%
    Draw 29.63%
EswatiniDrawMozambique
1-0 @ 12.21% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 6.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.31% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.18% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 33.44%
1-1 @ 13.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.81% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.83% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.63%
0-1 @ 13.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.18% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.93%

How you voted: Eswatini vs Mozambique

Eswatini
33.3%
Draw
18.5%
Mozambique
48.1%
27
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2024 2pm
Group Stage
Mozambique
1-1
Eswatini
Ratifo (74')
Miguel Neves Santos (26')
Mavuso (80')
Mkhonta (21'), Simiso Manana (52')
> Preview
Jun 29, 2024 11am
Group Stage
Mozambique
0-0
Eswatini
Domingos (90+2')
Manyisa (45+1'), Owa Matsebula (66'), Thwala (87')
May 24, 2022 2pm
International Friendly
Mozambique
0-1
Eswatini
Jul 18, 2021 11am
Third-Place Playoff
Eswatini
1-1
Mozambique
(Aggregate 1-1 | Mozambique win 4-2 on penalties)
Martinho (39')
Candinho (70'), Muze (80'), Shaquille (88')
Mkhontfo (89')
Magagula (42')
rhs 2.0
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