

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 55.07%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 22.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Montrose |
| 55.07% ( | 22.45% ( | 22.48% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.16% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.75% ( | 42.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.34% ( | 64.66% ( |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.75% ( | 15.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.06% ( | 43.94% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.45% ( | 32.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.92% ( | 69.08% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Montrose |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 1-0 @ 9.34% ( 2-0 @ 8.78% ( 3-1 @ 6.18% ( 3-0 @ 5.5% ( 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 4-1 @ 2.9% ( 4-0 @ 2.59% ( 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 5-1 @ 1.09% ( 5-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 55.07% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 3-3 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.45% | 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0-2 @ 3.13% ( 1-3 @ 2.2% ( 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 2.46% Total : 22.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 40 | 16 | 53 |
| 3 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 51 |
| 4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 48 |
| 6 | Montrose | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 40 |
| 7 | Kelty Hearts | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 37 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 36 |
| 10 | Dumbarton | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 63 | -16 | 17 |
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
