

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 55.07%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 22.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Montrose | 
| 55.07% (  -0.16) | 22.45% (  0.05) | 22.48% (  0.1) | 
| Both teams to score 57.16% (  -0.05) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 57.75% (  -0.14) | 42.25% (  0.13) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 35.34% (  -0.14) | 64.66% (  0.13) | 
| Dumbarton Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 84.75% (  -0.1) | 15.25% (  0.1) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.06% (  -0.19) | 43.94% (  0.19) | 
| Montrose Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.45% (  0.01) | 32.55% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.92% (  0.02) | 69.08% (  -0.02) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Dumbarton | Draw | Montrose | 
| 2-1 @ 9.85% (  -0) 1-0 @ 9.34% (  0.03) 2-0 @ 8.78% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.18% (  -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.5% (  -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.47% (  -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.9% (  -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.59% (  -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.63% (  -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.09% (  -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.97% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 55.07% | 1-1 @ 10.47% (  0.03) 2-2 @ 5.53% (  -0) 0-0 @ 4.96% (  0.03) 3-3 @ 1.3% (  -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.45% | 1-2 @ 5.88% (  0.02) 0-1 @ 5.57% (  0.04) 0-2 @ 3.13% (  0.02) 1-3 @ 2.2% (  0.01) 2-3 @ 2.07% (  0) 0-3 @ 1.17% (  0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 22.48% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 | 
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 40 | 16 | 53 | 
| 3 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 51 | 
| 4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 | 
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 48 | 
| 6 | Montrose | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 40 | 
| 7 | Kelty Hearts | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 | 
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 37 | 
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 36 | 
| 10 | Dumbarton | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 63 | -16 | 17 | 
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
