Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 52.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 22.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
