Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 57.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 20.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
