Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.