Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
