

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 25.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | SBV Excelsior | 
| 50.89% (  -0.09) | 23.84% (  -0.03) | 25.27% (  0.12) | 
| Both teams to score 55.82% (  0.23) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.43% (  0.25) | 45.57% (  -0.25) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.1% (  0.24) | 67.9% (  -0.23) | 
| NEC Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.06% (  0.06) | 17.94% (  -0.06) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.23% (  0.1) | 48.77% (  -0.1) | 
| SBV Excelsior Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.02% (  0.23) | 31.98% (  -0.23) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.56% (  0.27) | 68.43% (  -0.26) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| NEC | Draw | SBV Excelsior | 
| 1-0 @ 9.86% (  -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.65% (  -0) 2-0 @ 8.47% (  -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.53% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 4.85% (  -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.15% (  0.03) 4-1 @ 2.38% (  0.01) 4-0 @ 2.08% (  -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.35% (  0.01) Other @ 3.58% Total : 50.9% | 1-1 @ 11.23% (  -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.74% (  -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.5% (  0.03) 3-3 @ 1.2% (  0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.83% | 0-1 @ 6.54% (  -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.41% (  0.03) 0-2 @ 3.73% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 2.44% (  0.02) 2-3 @ 2.09% (  0.03) 0-3 @ 1.42% (  0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 25.27% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 
| 2 | FC Twente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 
| 3 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 
| 4 | Heerenveen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 
| 5 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 
| 6 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 
| 7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 
| 8 | Vitesse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 
| 10 | Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 
| 11 | NECNijmegen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 0 | 
| 12 | FC VolendamVolendam | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 
| 14 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | 
| 15 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 
| 16 | Heracles | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | 
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | 
| 18 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
