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Excelsior
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 33
Apr 9, 2021 at 7pm UK
 
NEC
SBV Excelsior
2 - 1
NEC
Zwarts (63', 79')
Wieffer (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vet (16')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between SBV Excelsior and NEC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.17%) and 0-1 (5.05%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawNEC
36.18%21.82%41.99%
Both teams to score 69.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.03%29.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.84%51.15%
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.39%17.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.81%48.19%
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.75%15.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.06%43.93%
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 36.19%
    NEC 41.99%
    Draw 21.82%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawNEC
2-1 @ 7.62%
1-0 @ 4.66%
3-1 @ 4.41%
3-2 @ 4.15%
2-0 @ 4.05%
3-0 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.92%
4-2 @ 1.8%
4-3 @ 1.13%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 36.19%
1-1 @ 8.77%
2-2 @ 7.16%
0-0 @ 2.69%
3-3 @ 2.6%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.82%
1-2 @ 8.25%
1-3 @ 5.17%
0-1 @ 5.05%
0-2 @ 4.75%
2-3 @ 4.49%
0-3 @ 2.98%
1-4 @ 2.43%
2-4 @ 2.11%
0-4 @ 1.4%
3-4 @ 1.22%
1-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 41.99%

Head to Head
Jan 8, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 19
Nijmegen
3-2
Excelsior
Okita (50'), Elkarouani (79'), Bruijn (86' pen.)
Odenthal (28'), Proper (42'), Okita (72'), Vet (90+5')
Zwarts (14'), Van Rooijen (17')
Wieffer (49'), Matthys (90+4')
Ormonde-Ottewill (76')
Apr 10, 2020 7pm
Dec 6, 2019 7pm
Apr 22, 2017 5.30pm
Nijmegen
0-1
Excelsior

Bikel (6'), Golla (68'), von Haacke (87')
Van Duinen (58')
de Wijs (21')
Dec 18, 2016 11.30am
Excelsior
2-2
Nijmegen
Elbers (11'), Karami (49')
Drost (56')
Grot (41'), Dumic (77')
Ofosu (77'), Breinburg (90')
[nma]
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